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    WILL THERE BE ANOTHER CHURBAN?

    I. The Promise
    This week, Israel
    is celebrating the
    78th anniversary of
    its independence.
    It was not always
    a given that there
    would be a first anniversary, much less
    a 78th. But Rav Yitzchak Herzog was
    personally convinced that the Jewish
    settlement in Israel would continue
    indefinitely. He said so on multiple
    occasions. Perhaps the most famous was
    when he was in the United States during
    World War II and met with President
    Franklin D. Roosevelt. His son, Rav
    Ya’akov Herzog (20th cen., Israel), told
    the story in a 1969 radio interview (A
    People That Dwells Alone, p. 16):
    “In 1941, when Rommel was at the
    gates of [British-] Palestine, my father
    [Rav Yitzchak Herzog] was on a visit
    to Washington and President Roosevelt
    warned him not to return, for the
    country was about to be conquered by
    the Germans. My father replied that

    the Prophets had foretold only two
    destructions and had said nothing about
    a third. A week after the Six Day War,
    the late Levi Eshkol reminded me of my
    father’s answer.”
    Rav Ari Chwat (pronounced Shvat;
    cont., Israel) collects a number of reports
    of Rav Herzog saying this to different
    people, including Lord Edward Wood,
    the Earl of Halifax, who served as British
    Ambassador to the United States from
    December 1940 through May 1946.
    Rav Chwat concludes that Rav Herzog
    frequently told this to people (Masua
    Le’Yitzchak: A Collection of Lectures
    Commemorating the 50th Year After the
    Passing of the Late Chief Rabbi of Israel
    Yitzchak Herzog zt”l, vol. 2, pp. 45-48).
    Rav Hershel Schachter (cont., US) reports
    that he heard that Rav Herzog told this to
    Rav Yitzchak Soloveitchik (the Brisker
    Rav) in order to convince him not to flee
    Israel to Switzerland in order to avoid
    the potential Nazi invasion. Rav Herzog
    reportedly said that he has a tradition
    that there will not be a third churban,
    destruction of the Jewish settlement in

    Israel. The Brisker Rav
    reportedly responded that
    he has a tradition that
    when people shoot, we
    run (Be-Ikvei Ha-Tzon,
    p. 215).
    II. The Source
    The obvious questions
    are where Rav Herzog
    gets this “tradition” and
    whether it applies to
    the State of Israel. Rav
    Chwat (loc. cit.) quotes the Midrash
    Tanchuma (Shofetim, no. 9):
    “‘But one-third shall remain in it’ (Zech.
    13:8): They shall only settle in their
    land in the third redemption. The first
    redemption was the redemption from
    Egypt. The second was the redemption
    of Ezra. The third has no end.”
    Similarly, Rashi explains the verse, “You
    have been fully chastised for your sins,
    city of Tzion. He will never exile you
    again” (Lam. 4:22) as meaning: “He will
    never exile you again – after the exile of
    Edom (Rome).” Rav Chwat quotes
    other midrashim and commentators
    that state that there will not be a third
    exile.
    Rav Hershel Schachter (op. cit.,
    pp. 214-215) quotes Ramban (Lev.
    26:16) who explains that the two
    tochachos (rebukes) in the Torah
    (Lev. 26, Deut. 28) refer to the first
    and second destructions, respectively.
    Since the Temple during the Second
    Commonwealth was diminished, and
    did not have divine fire consuming
    the sacrifices, the second rebuke does
    not even mention that the destruction
    would lead to the end of sacrifices. All
    we see in the second rebuke is human
    destruction and the destruction of the
    Jewish settlement in the land of Israel.
    But, Rav Schachter points out, there is
    no third rebuke in the Torah. That must
    mean that the Jewish settlement will
    not be destroyed a third time.
    III. The State of Israel
    Rav Schachter suggests that the
    halachic definition of Jewish
    settlement in Israel can be found in the
    rule that we tear our clothing when we
    see the cities of Judea in destruction
    (Shulchan Aruch, Orach Chaim
    561:1). Rav Avraham Gombiner (17th
    cen., Poland) writes that when the

    cities are controlled by gentiles, they
    are considered destroyed even though
    they may be full of vibrant life (Magen
    Avraham, ad loc., 1). Conversely, Rav
    Schachter argues, Jewish control over
    the cities is considered redeeming and
    rebuilding the cities. We would not tear
    our clothing over Judean cities within a
    sovereign Jewish country.
    With that definition of rebuilding, Rav
    Schachter argues that once there is
    Jewish control over the land of Israel,
    i.e. a sovereign Jewish country, the land
    has been redeemed and will never again
    be destroyed, i.e. removed from Jewish
    control. He adds that the modern State
    of Israel suffices for this definition, but
    following that argument will take us too
    afar.
    According to Rav Schachter, the promise
    that there will only be two destructions
    and not a third applies to the modern
    State of Israel. With this, he explains
    why Rav Herzog was confident that the
    Nazis would not conquer the land. Once
    the Jews resettled the land, the biblical
    prophecies apply and there can be no
    future destruction. This does not mean
    that Israel will win every war. Nor, sadly,
    does it mean that individuals will survive
    every war and attack. It only means that
    the Jewish settlement in the land of Israel
    will continue.
    I pointed out to Rav Schachter that Rav
    Herzog made his prediction even during
    World War II, when the British controlled
    the land of Israel. If so, how could Rav
    Herzog be certain that there would not be
    a future destruction? Maybe the Jewish
    resettlement was like the minor kingdom
    of Bar Kochba, that did not control much
    of anything and was destroyed? He was
    not sure how to answer for Rav Herzog
    but perhaps Rav Herzog had a broader
    definition of the cities and the land being
    rebuilt.